Nov 1st SLV

Nov 1st SLV

Here is a 3 month view of the iShares Silver Trust ETF.  It had a small pull back in the 3rd week of October that is almost exactly the same time as the pull back in Oct 2009. If SLV resembles last years moves, we will see a rally in November. That is a big IF, nothing is for certain and we can only take a 'educated guess' where Silver and SLV may be going based on fundamental data plus a bit of technical analysis.

SLV currently has made higher highs and higher lows off of the break last week and is trading above the 15 day moving average. A fibonacci 161.8 level is around the $25.5 area which may be reached this month. The base fibonacci levels were taken from the lows in 2008 to the Dec high in 2009.

There is a FOMC meeting this Wednesday that may impact the markets. QE2 is on the way, we just do not know how much money they will be printing and for how long.  The bottom line is that any money that is printed out of thin air bodes well for commodities in general.

The Silver to Gold ratio has been dropping over the last 2 months and if is continues to drop, expect Silver to rise even though Gold is flat.